Friday, May 7, 2010

Projection: Firefox overtakes IE by Christmas 2012

It has been widely reported that the global market share for Microsoft’s Internet Explorer has fallen below 60%. While pundits, commentators and technologists discuss the future of IE, Zack Whittaker at ZDNet has done “a bit of maths” and produced the following extrapolation, showing FireFox passing IE market share around December 2012.

Assuming Zack has done his Excel sums correctly, the prediction is still pure data extrapolation. The last year has been extremely unfavourable for IE with its security flaws and the playing out of the European anti-trust case against Microsoft. Redmond may still be able to turn the prediction around.

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