Monday, November 9, 2009

Security Muggles

The question of “How secure are we?”, essentially a perennial security conundrum, was on the agenda of the recent CSI meeting in Washington, as reported by Dark Reading.  What was on offer from a collection of senior security professionals was advice – and perhaps this is the best that can be expected. Christopher Michael, director of information assurance at defence contractor BAE Systems, went as far as basically saying that security status can’t be measured yet security professionals are obliged to do so. So what is to done? The article has a few ideas, which as presented, don’t flow together particularly well, but some interesting points were made.

The first of which is that security people are predisposed to detail, accuracy and correctness. Donald Knuth, the famous computer scientist,  has stated that the reason programming is so hard, therefore so interesting to excel at, is that as a discipline it does not admit approximations – everything must be exact and correct – the processor will not interpret your intentions only execute your commands. And while the traits of detail, accuracy and correctness are necessary for IT activities, they are  fundamentally at odds with the type of messages and opinions  that senior managers are expecting. Detail, accuracy and correctness can be sacrificed to an extent for the benefits of conciseness, meaning and actionable recommendations. They don’t want to hear about packets, firewall rules or buffer overflows.

I have a soft spot for threat modelling, and appreciate the detail and insights it uncovers, but I often wonder how far up the managerial chain this type of analysis in its raw form can be propagated. Sooner or later you will reach a managerial layer populated by security muggles who will require (or demand)  less complicated analyses.

Bill Mann, senior vice president of security product strategy at CA, remarked that “these guys [the muggles] think in spreadsheets”, which is the same sentiment I expressed in Does IT Security Matter? - “Excel is your new best friend - make your spreadsheets work with their (business) spreadsheets”. You perhaps need not take this Excel advice literally but at least think of Excel as the underlying business platform for marshalling data, numbers and money towards business cases. Security, or any other activity, needs to figure prominently in this space to be taken seriously – or at least to get a serious hearing.

This is the same point that Marcus Ranum raised not too long ago, about security people, and their arguments (often objections) being over-ruled by more business-savvy types. We perhaps need to develop skills in one-way hash arguments

Often business has the “snappy intuitively appealing arguments without obvious problems” - plus Excel - while if the security practitioner objects, then by contrast, the “rebuttal may require explaining a whole series of preliminary concepts before it’s really possible to explain why the talking point (i.e. business case) is wrong”. Snappy and plausible usually wins out over lengthy, detailed and correct. There is asymmetry at work here, a “one way hash” argument, and security people have ended up with the hard inversion problem.

In Some Black Swans in IT Security I argued that the the most pernicious problem facing IT Security today

We have called this Black Swan "Good Enough Security" but we may also have chosen risk-based security, the transition from risk to assurance, the diminishing returns of security, or knowing your security posture. Managers and other stakeholders want to know that their IT assets are adequately protected, and it is up to the IT Security person to define that level of adequacy and provide assurance that it is reached and maintained. Most security people are woefully ill-equipped to define and deliver such assurance in convincing business or managerial language.

It is not so much that we must deal with security muggles but rather IT Security people are seen as business muggles. 

Quadratic Football Revisited

Just on a year ago now (almost a birthday!) I posted about the birthday paradox, with a review of general results and then some remarks on erroneous conclusions from DNA matching. In the post there is a subheading called Quadratic Football, referring to the facts that the median of the birthday paradox distribution is 23, the same as the number of players on pitch for a football match (two teams of 11 plus the referee), and this number is surprisingly small due to the quadratic (growing as the square) number of possible birthday matches.

I recently uploaded Methods for studying coincidences to Scribd and found an auto-linked document that presents a small study of birthday coincidences in actual British football fixtures. The conclusion – good agreement between theory and practice. This short paper is well-worth a read.

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Sunday, November 8, 2009

Recent uploads to Scribd

I have been going through some interesting documents I have been collecting, and added them to Scribd. The topics vary but basically security and (IT) risk one way or the other.

Outline of a book on Passwords

I have uploaded to my Google site an outline of a book I started to write in 2003 on passwords. At the time I had a few months away from work and I decided to return to some basics in security, and I started with passwords in Windows. I was surprised at how complex, or at least detailed, this topic turned out to be. I was somewhat inspired by also reading Richard Smith’s nice book Authentication: from Passwords to Public keys. You will find many references to his book in my draft.

My draft does have some good references, a list of passwords threats and a nice glossary. Looking at the TOC you get some idea of how much there is to cover.

I am not sure I will get back to completing the book, though I would surely like to. I make regular posts on passwords and they are certainly one of my pet security topics. However time has eluded me (so far) and perhaps you can use the material.

Monday, November 2, 2009

Upcoming Black Swan talk at ZISC

I will be giving a talk in mid December at the Zurich Information Security Colloquium (ZISC) on one of my favourite topics, Some Black Swans in IT Security. Details can be found on the ZISC site.